The forecast is a negotiation, not a model
Commit numbers are produced by discussion and sandbagging rather than evidence that a deal has actually moved forward. The board hears a number whose error nobody can characterize.
Revenue at a $10M–$70M company is usually run as a collection of departments and campaigns rather than one measured system. F3 Insights builds a revenue system that reconciles to the P&L: a clear view of which customers to pursue, written rules for when a deal moves stage, pricing controls, and a record of why deals are lost that feeds back into the plan.
The recurring failures we see in the Office of the CRO at companies with $10M–$70M in revenue.
Commit numbers are produced by discussion and sandbagging rather than evidence that a deal has actually moved forward. The board hears a number whose error nobody can characterize.
The largest deals still close in one person's calendar. Revenue capacity is capped by an individual's availability, and the motion cannot be taught because it was never made explicit.
The volume playbook stopped working and the dashboard has not noticed. Coverage ratios look healthy while conversion quietly degrades, because quantity is instrumented and quality is not.
Deals die in stages three and four, and the CRM records everything except why. Without structured loss reasons there is no feedback loop, so the same deals die the same way next quarter.
Every deal is bespoke and margin leaks at the contract line. Discount authority is informal, exceptions are unlogged, and the realized price is discovered in the month-end close.
Marketing, sales, and customer success run separate systems with separate definitions of the same funnel. Handoffs lose information and each team is measured on a number the others do not recognize.
Four pieces, built from the numbers up. Reconciled numbers come first, because automation on numbers nobody trusts is a faster way to be confidently wrong.
A defined ideal customer, segment and territory design, written criteria for each pipeline stage, and tracking honest enough to survive a CFO's scrutiny. Marketing, sales, and customer success run as one instrumented pipeline.
A weekly pipeline and forecast cadence with defined inspection, a KPI tree tying activity to bookings and cash, and the standing rituals where commitments are made against evidence.
Forecast models, deal scoring, and win/loss analysis, each reviewed by a person before it is acted on. Recommendations a revenue leader can defend, with the reasoning attached.
A senior revenue operator inside the rhythm who builds the architecture, runs it in live quarters, then certifies the client's team to run it without them.
Every engagement ends with your team running what we built. How we work
Each office is one seat at the same table. The offices share one set of numbers, one operating rhythm, and one set of playbooks.
A diagnostic runs two to six weeks and ends with a systems map, a problem ledger with costs attached, and a sequenced build plan. Start with a conversation about the Office of the CRO.